Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1922.033975 2098.084340 2278.064030 2475.542252 2685.847348 2902.837403 3143.364652
2024-10-27 1570.480785 1820.861337 2088.312805 2394.165778 2733.136594 3096.199773 3513.340569
2024-11-03 1440.415086 1743.952787 2078.436560 2472.089019 2920.346292 3412.560306 3991.503686
2024-11-10 1327.551629 1667.923614 2053.015205 2517.196429 3057.635511 3663.122215 4388.734907
2024-11-17 1210.652204 1574.078200 1995.320533 2514.178894 3130.367857 3833.063150 4689.003769
2024-11-24 1098.672101 1475.848779 1923.130277 2485.276022 3165.157737 3953.091469 4927.056207
2024-12-01 1029.315929 1423.448545 1900.372207 2510.414447 3259.936932 4140.642395 5242.920936
2024-12-08 956.271662 1360.717695 1859.855310 2509.239596 3319.186743 4283.393628 5504.371598
2024-12-15 913.924582 1333.830470 1861.127841 2557.386498 3437.164711 4496.294248 5850.897669
2024-12-22 847.405602 1270.852492 1812.541170 2539.080565 3469.704046 4603.151491 6067.785336
2024-12-29 818.576049 1255.996998 1824.287097 2596.433886 3596.584273 4826.309153 6428.635570
2025-01-05 773.427090 1216.036222 1800.588905 2605.720898 3660.830487 4970.946303 6692.747717
2025-01-12 728.535103 1174.779141 1774.183178 2611.319919 3721.399378 5113.464159 6958.747629
2025-01-19 654.516447 1088.145537 1682.540224 2526.488354 3661.262093 5100.830684 7028.220088
2025-01-26 643.526111 1091.679584 1714.220330 2607.670089 3819.832872 5369.017510 7456.417484
2025-02-02 622.087565 1078.402841 1721.356011 2654.652667 3932.895519 5579.264387 7812.392509
2025-02-09 586.316240 1041.563369 1693.339481 2651.509941 3977.617664 5700.297729 8054.002356
2025-02-16 545.015779 993.885206 1647.542756 2621.406128 3984.070326 5770.053127 8228.708642
2025-02-23 522.990465 974.856163 1642.244707 2647.589266 4066.981475 5940.849186 8536.313152
2025-03-02 494.759213 944.381741 1618.639887 2646.365646 4111.241457 6060.016895 8776.648637
2025-03-09 482.117296 938.265603 1630.819250 2696.506734 4227.135424 6275.861650 9146.465662
2025-03-16 452.319471 902.364752 1596.476870 2677.443658 4244.963292 6359.132947 9340.333390
2025-03-23 444.023116 901.765647 1615.742036 2737.164837 4374.405594 6594.501815 9739.068437